Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RIOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-14 9.372048 10.717660 12.200601 13.958159 15.987044 18.258792 20.999785
2025-09-21 7.491477 9.222656 11.284082 13.927305 17.237717 21.261131 26.543982
2025-09-28 6.322443 8.199652 10.561106 13.764383 18.018998 23.507389 31.174866
2025-10-05 5.729821 7.758171 10.428621 14.225378 19.523365 26.710551 37.295625
2025-10-12 5.240285 7.363637 10.271307 14.577628 20.851237 29.746415 43.472303
2025-10-19 4.890937 7.105477 10.247211 15.075107 22.389169 33.186083 50.574595
2025-10-26 4.359224 6.519166 9.679402 14.695205 22.559798 34.589885 54.713890
2025-11-02 3.957923 6.079855 9.274514 14.499763 22.960248 36.340918 59.539034
2025-11-09 3.622411 5.704791 8.924431 14.340573 23.378219 38.127379 64.576612
2025-11-16 3.323907 5.357599 8.581024 14.148109 23.704216 39.767820 69.510366
2025-11-23 3.045059 5.015512 8.211986 13.870315 23.844763 41.085857 73.989584
2025-11-30 2.953844 4.974388 8.331091 14.425834 25.468715 45.116289 83.811835
2025-12-07 2.795940 4.809267 8.231019 14.597063 26.440386 48.108219 92.104561
2025-12-14 2.619322 4.596236 8.029038 14.564499 27.031642 50.454272 99.419661
2025-12-21 2.439298 4.361368 7.767109 14.393653 27.338127 52.278146 105.883168
2025-12-28 2.370040 4.320855 7.850970 14.877088 28.946878 56.780724 118.378566
2026-01-04 2.289709 4.252487 7.876143 15.246517 30.360816 61.029883 130.841350
2026-01-11 2.233958 4.225418 7.975459 15.768302 32.130407 66.180794 145.899832
2026-01-18 2.071702 3.979999 7.634608 15.369834 31.942904 67.189653 151.736194
2026-01-25 1.945303 3.795346 7.398298 15.164852 32.144408 69.048799 159.752742
2026-02-01 1.833229 3.630823 7.189258 14.997898 32.409911 71.068945 168.387124
2026-02-08 1.726320 3.468864 6.973003 14.796055 32.576646 72.877850 176.719164
2026-02-15 1.618855 3.297995 6.725620 14.504738 32.511668 74.142425 183.838102